![]() With now a full season’s worth of games under his belt, the model likes his chances for an even slightly better finish. Purdy’s first career NFL start came last season against the Buccaneers and he finished the game with two passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown in a dominating 35-7 win for the San Francisco 49ers. This week, he’s facing a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that is 31st in passing yards allowed, but sixth in rushing yards allowed per game. Last week, squaring off against Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars, he was in this section because we mentioned that he was getting Deebo Samuel back, Trent Williams back, and was facing a team that was 30th in sacks and passing yards allowed. ![]() You know what they say … “if it ain’t broke….” For the second straight week, Purdy makes the Yay list as the quarterback most undervalued by the industry. TB (ECR: 12, Our Rank: 5, Projected Points: 21.36) Once again, we are using PPR unless noted otherwise. These rankings update throughout the week (we pulled these numbers from Thursday). Note: We’re comparing our rankings to the expert consensus rankings (ECR) from Fantasy Pros. Sports are fun, and the numbers help accentuate the joy, so let’s dig into some more. The team that won the Super Bowl has gone 5-1 in the rematches – the 1993 Buffalo Bills are the only team to lose a Super Bowl the previous season and then beat the team they lost to (Dallas Cowboys) the following year. This will be the seventh Super Bowl rematch in the following season all time. The only player in the Super Bowl era to rush for 100 yards in two games against the Steelers in a single season was James Brooks for the Bengals in 1989. Jerome Ford rushed for 106 yards in his first game against the Steelers this season. The last four matchups have been decided by a combined 15 points with Las Vegas winning the most recent 31-28 in overtime in 2021. Through 1990, the Raiders held a 14-3-1 advantage, but since then, the Dolphins have gone 15-4. The Raiders and Dolphins have matched up 37 times in the regular season with each team winning 18 games (and tying once). Meanwhile, the Lions are coming off back-to-back games with at least 200 rushing yards, the first time doing so since 1997 (three straight in November). It’s also on pace to be the lowest mark by the Bears since the 1970 season (3.20). The Bears are allowing 3.22 yards per rush this season, on pace to be lowest in a season since the 2014 Lions (3.17). That is the highest total by a passer/receiver who were college teammates, surpassing the 26 touchdowns from Tobin Rote to Billy Howton for the Green Bay Packers from 1952-56 (played together at Rice in the 1940s). Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase connected on their 27th regular-season touchdown last week. ![]() Five insights that you wouldn’t know just from watching but will hopefully pique your interest in these games and give you an extra storyline to track. To that end, here is one unique insight from five different NFL games this week. So often times, it’s the data that helps us find compelling subplots and storylines. See, we watch as much as we can, but we can’t watch everything. Other times, we take the events that have transpired on the field and use that data to build advanced models that attempt to predict what might happen in future games, like the fantasy football model you read about in this piece every week or in our weekly predictions piece.īut there’s a third, essential, use case. Like in this profile from earlier in the week on C.J. Sometimes, we see something that happens on the field, and feel compelled to write about it, using game-based data to back it up. ![]() There is a secret sauce in everything we do at Opta Analyst.Īll of our articles, every word in the Yays and Nays, and on this site in general, is backed by a sports database so unique in its expansiveness that we’ve got stats from sporting events from over 100 years ago. In our Week 11 fantasy football start ’em and sit ’em, we let the data give you another perspective that likely varies from the expert consensus. ![]()
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